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Ethereum Price Forecast for June 2026: ETH Enters Its Worst Month of the Year with $1,750 in Focus on the Monthly Chart
Ethereum was trading at $1,977 on June 1, entering its historically worst calendar month below the $2,000 level for the first time since 2023. At the same time, the monthly chart shows the CRT candle range low at $1,750, while the lower daily Bollinger Band sits at $1,936.
ETH Price Forecast for June 2026: Monthly CRT Range Low at $1,750 Is a Realistic Target
Monthly ETH/USD price action. Source: TradingView
Starting with the monthly chart, the CRT candle range extends from a low of $1,750 to a high of $2,461.
Price is currently trading in the lower half of this range after failing to hold above the midpoint around $2,100.
The monthly CRT range low at $1,750 is viewed as a potential liquidity target for June if price remains below the range midpoint.
Daily ETH/USD price action. Source: TradingView
The daily chart adds further detail.
All four exponential moving averages are positioned above the current price:
- 20 EMA: $2,096;
- 50 EMA: $2,170;
- 100 EMA: $2,260;
- 200 EMA: $2,494.
The lower Bollinger Band is located at $1,936 and represents the next major technical support below current price.
A daily close below $1,936 would open a direct path toward the monthly CRT range low at $1,750 without significant intermediate support.
Key ETH Levels for June
Resistance:
- $2,096 (20 EMA);
- $2,103 (Bollinger Band midline);
- $2,270 (Upper Bollinger Band).
Support:
- $1,936 (Lower Bollinger Band);
- $1,750 (Monthly CRT range low).
June Has Historically Been Ethereum’s Worst Month
ETH monthly return analysis. Source: CryptoRank
Historical seasonality continues to support the bearish case.
ETH has closed June in negative territory in 7 of the last 10 years. Losses ranged from 1.5% in 2025 to 45.1% in 2022.
The three positive Junes produced gains between 3% and 27%, but none occurred under conditions similar to those seen today.
ETH enters June after an 11.2% decline in May, trading below all daily EMAs and below the midpoint of its monthly CRT range.
The average June return throughout Ethereum's history is -6.27%, while the median return is -2.66%.
Applying these figures to the current price near $1,977 suggests a potential monthly close between $1,853 and $1,922.
This range aligns closely with the daily lower Bollinger Band at $1,936 and begins approaching the monthly CRT low at $1,750.
ETH Futures: Long Positions Remain Vulnerable
ETH derivatives analysis. Source: CoinGlass
Futures trading volume increased 53.66% to $31.88 billion, while open interest rose only 1.61% to $31.73 billion.
Strong volume growth combined with nearly flat open interest suggests active repositioning rather than new directional conviction.
Over the last 24 hours, long liquidations reached $50.63 million, compared with just $10.96 million in short liquidations.
The nearly 5-to-1 ratio highlights persistent bearish pressure.
The retail long/short ratio stands at 0.9623, indicating a nearly neutral positioning balance.
However, Binance account data shows a ratio of 3.2735, suggesting that many retail traders remain heavily long despite recent losses.
Top traders show a ratio of 3.9975 by accounts but only 1.6111 by position size, indicating that professional traders remain cautiously positioned.
A market where retail traders remain heavily long while price trades below every major EMA and enters the weakest seasonal month of the year is generally not a favorable setup for a rapid bullish reversal.
ETH Price Outlook for June 2026
Bullish Scenario
A recovery above the Bollinger Band midline at $2,103 and the 20 EMA at $2,096 would shift attention toward $2,270.
However, Ethereum would need to establish and maintain a monthly position above $2,100, something it has failed to achieve since the May rejection.
Bearish Scenario
A loss of support at $1,936, confirmed by a weekly close below that level, would likely open the path toward the monthly CRT range low at $1,750.
This scenario aligns with both historical seasonality and the anticipated CRT liquidity draw.
See also: "YouTuber warns Bitcoin bottom is not yet in as stablecoin share reaches risk-off levels"
