Approval Probability of Cardano ETF at 91%. Analysts Predict ADA Growth
Market sentiment toward ADA improved after forecasters estimated the probability of approval for a spot Cardano ETF in the U.S. by October 26 at 91%. Potential approval has sparked fresh debates on whether institutional capital could replicate the inflows seen in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs earlier this year.
While analysts debate, Cardano is trading around $0.798, attempting to recover after last week’s drop below the $0.81–$0.83 support range. Buyers are defending the $0.78 zone, but the market remains below key short-term moving averages.
The focus now is on whether ADA can return to the $0.83–$0.85 level, a resistance cluster reinforced by the 50-day EMA and Fibonacci confluence levels.
On the 4-hour chart, ADA is consolidating between $0.78 and $0.83 after a sharp pullback from September highs above $0.95. The price currently sits below the 20-day EMA at $0.80 and faces resistance from the 50-day and 100-day EMAs at $0.82 and $0.83.
The 200-day EMA remains higher at $0.84, forming a tight resistance zone. A breakout through this cluster would clear the way toward $0.87 (Fibonacci 0.382) and then $0.90 (Fibonacci 0.5). On the downside, immediate support lies at $0.78, with deeper liquidity pockets around $0.75 and $0.71.
Momentum indicators remain mixed. RSI is recovering from oversold territory but has yet to confirm a bullish divergence. Parabolic SAR dots remain above the price, signaling the persistence of the bearish trend.
See also: "Tether Buys an Additional $1 Billion Worth of Bitcoin"
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