Raoul Pal’s ‘Trump cycle’ theory hints at massive XRP growth
Macro investor and Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal believes that the current market structure under Donald Trump’s return to power closely resembles 2017 — a year that saw a massive altcoin boom, including XRP.
Back in 2017, Trump’s policies triggered a spike in the U.S. dollar due to tighter financial conditions, followed by a sharp weakening. The same pattern occurred in 2024 — the dollar surged after Trump’s win, then began losing strength.
Historically, XRP has always lagged behind Bitcoin: it first enters a consolidation phase, and then explodes in value — as seen in March 2017, when XRP soared by around 69,000%. During Trump’s second term, XRP jumped 580% — from $0.50 to $3.40. Since February, the token has entered a consolidation phase that may last up to six months.
If the model Pal outlined plays out again, XRP could experience a second wave of growth in late summer or autumn 2025.
Interestingly, other macro analysts — including Arthur Hayes — share this view, noting that a combination of dollar weakness and fiscal expansion could lead to parabolic growth in crypto.
As for XRP itself, Ripple is actively investing in tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) on the XRP Ledger. There are also rumors that Ripple may go public (IPO), which could further elevate XRP’s status.
See also: "Bitcoin price today: holds near $109K amid tariff fallout concerns"
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