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These Events Will Affect Bitcoin’s Price in August
Today, on July 30, 2025, the U.S. Federal Reserve is scheduled to publish its decision regarding the key interest rate. Most market participants believe that weak economic data and inflation concerns will prevent Fed Chair Jerome Powell from lowering the rate this time. Meanwhile, 64% of investors still expect a rate cut in September.
The Fed’s decision in early autumn will largely depend on August’s results. Here’s what to watch and how different regulatory moves might impact the market.
Crypto blogger COIN 22 outlined key events in August 2025 that could affect the crypto market:
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On August 1, another deadline approaches in the tariff war initiated by former President Trump. Fed Chair Jerome Powell believes the trade conflict could significantly harm the U.S. economy, particularly due to inflation risks. These concerns could delay a potential rate cut by the Fed. On the other hand, Trump supporters argue that Powell is overstating the effects of the president’s tariff policy.
As of this writing, it is unclear whether there will be a pause after August 1 or a move to implement tariffs up to 60%. This uncertainty may hinder market growth. New trade deals, on the other hand, could positively impact the crypto industry.
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Also on August 1, a key U.S. unemployment report is expected. Its results will influence the Fed's September interest rate decision.
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On August 12, the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will be released. Rising inflation could eliminate expectations of a rate cut in early autumn.
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August 20 will bring the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, revealing the Fed’s internal discussions and stance regarding the July 30 rate decision. These insights will help markets better understand the Fed’s sentiment heading into the September meeting.
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The Jackson Hole Symposium, scheduled for August 21–23, may further clarify the Fed's outlook. Powell’s speech during the event could provide valuable clues about the likelihood of a rate cut in September.
If markets receive enough signals in August that the Fed is ready to lower rates in September, crypto could see renewed bullish momentum. Conversely, negative signals may exert pressure. Mixed signals might keep the crypto market trading sideways.
Earlier, BeInCrypto reported that on July 30, the U.S. might release a report on Bitcoin reserves. The document is expected to shed light on the country's cryptocurrency holdings and plans for accumulation. Back in April 2025, Bo Hines, Executive Director of Digital Assets at the White House, stated that the government might begin purchasing crypto. The upcoming report may clarify the regulators' intentions.
See also: "New U.S. Bill Proposes Including Crypto Assets in Mortgage Applications"
