The Fed Will Not Cut Interest Rates in March. Will the Crypto Market Suffer?
According to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged this month stands at 95.7%. The lack of change could negatively impact the cryptocurrency market.

CME Group Data
Typically, interest rate cuts increase attention toward risk assets, as borrowing becomes easier. However, this trend has shifted in recent months. For example, in October 2025, the crypto market experienced one of its most severe liquidation events despite a rate cut.
In December, when the Federal Reserve announced another rate reduction, investor sentiment did not improve, and investments in cryptocurrencies did not increase.
At present, Bitcoin’s price decline is being driven more by geopolitical factors, including trade wars and military conflicts.
In particular, following the U.S. and Israel’s attack on Iran, Bitcoin (BTC) quickly fell to $63,000. After initial reports emerged about the death of the country’s spiritual leader Ali Khamenei, the cryptocurrency also rapidly recovered above $67,000, as this raised hopes that the military conflict would be short-lived.
See also: "How Many Bitcoins Does SpaceX Own Ahead of Its Planned IPO? Blockchain Data Reveals"
Українська
Русский
English

