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22/10/25 16:59 UTC-04

Polymarket users estimate XRP’s chance of reaching $4

Forecast statistics on the Polymarket platform show that only a small number of traders believe XRP could reach $4 by 2026. Specifically, traders assign a 21% probability that XRP will rise to $4 by January 2026.

Higher price targets appear even less likely — only 6% of traders expect XRP to reach $6, while 25% predict a move to $3.50. The most likely scenario, with 38% probability, suggests that XRP will reach $3.20 by that time.

Trading volumes for these prediction markets exceed $220,000, reflecting strong interest in XRP’s long-term outlook.

Optimism about growth is fueled by the potential approval of spot cryptocurrency ETFs in the United States. The example of Bitcoin (BTC) shows that such approvals tend to attract institutional capital, which in turn drives crypto asset prices higher.

At the moment, XRP trades around $2.40, down 4.9% over the past 24 hours and roughly 4% over the past week.

From a technical standpoint, XRP is trading below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.82) and 200-day simple moving average ($2.62), indicating a bearish trend and weak momentum in both the short and long term.

The 14-day RSI, currently at 39.93, signals neutral to slightly bearish sentiment and a decline in buying strength.

Overall, the combination of SMA and RSI indicators suggests that XRP may face further downward pressure unless it regains support above its key moving averages.

See also: "Trader Who Doubled Profits Opens $35M Long Position on Ethereum"

#Forecast #XRP (XRP) #Analitycs #Polymarket

Editor: Yuliya Soroka
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