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04/05/26 16:57 UTC-04

Bitcoin Rises, but Analyst Warns of Potential BTC Price Risks

In the cryptocurrency market, the sustainability of Bitcoin’s move above the $80,000 level remains a topic of debate. According to some analysts, the recent price action has been driven more by macroeconomic factors than by strong demand.

Macro analyst and co-founder of Coin Bureau Nic Puckrin stated that Bitcoin’s recent recovery appears “fragile.” According to him, the main driver of the rally has not been investor demand, but rather declining oil prices.

Specifically, the drop in Brent crude oil prices below $110 following news of “Project Freedom” provided short-term relief for risk assets. However, he warned that a move back above $110 could create strong selling pressure on Bitcoin.

Key Technical Levels

Puckrin also highlighted critical technical levels. He noted that if Bitcoin fails to hold above $79,500, the probability of forming a strong uptrend will decrease.

A breakdown below this level could lead to renewed downward pressure on the market.

Macroeconomic Signals

Other macroeconomic developments are also sending important signals to the crypto market.

According to the analyst, gold — which showed strong growth throughout 2025 — has begun to lose momentum. At the same time, the US Dollar Index is weakening, one of the key indicators of demand for safe-haven assets.

Efforts by many countries to reduce dependence on dollar-denominated assets point to a search for a new balance in global capital flows.

Risks in Traditional Markets

On the other hand, traditional financial markets also show significant risks.

Puckrin noted that the number of deals related to artificial intelligence is rapidly increasing, which could signal the formation of a potential bubble.

Even companies outside the tech sector are turning to AI narratives to support their stock prices — similar to last year’s trend when companies added Bitcoin to their balance sheets.

According to the analyst, such behavior may signal a large-scale market sell-off.

See also: "Crypto Analyst Predicts the Beginning of a Bitcoin Bull Market"

#Bitcoin (BTC) #Forecast

Editor: Alyona Nabok
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