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28/08/25 06:17 UTC-04

Why trading long ETH and short BTC matters

The recent rise of Ethereum relative to Bitcoin is attracting the attention of cross-asset analysts, with the latest Sevens Report warning that trading long ETH and short BTC may carry signals for equity markets.

"Since early July, a notable dynamic has begun to emerge in the relative performance between Bitcoin and its distant second most popular ‘crypto-cousin’, Ethereum," notes Sevens.

Ethereum has "significantly outperformed Bitcoin, with long ETH/short BTC trades accelerating rapidly as both cryptocurrencies soared to record highs."

Sevens pointed out that while many traditional investors may dismiss this shift, "there is a key takeaway based on cross-asset analysis."

Historically, sharp ETH/BTC rallies have coincided with "compressed but powerful rallies in equity markets that preceded short-term tops in the broader stock market."

The firm highlighted examples including the ETH/BTC rally of 2017, which preceded a double-digit equity decline in 2018, the 2020 move ahead of the pandemic crash, and the 2021 surge that foreshadowed the "double bear market" of 2022.

More recently, the current "130% ETH/BTC rally off 5-year lows reached in April... has clearly coincided with a sustained tech equity rally off 2025 lows," the note said.

Sevens emphasized that the current situation differs from 2023-2024, when Ethereum lagged while equities rallied. The firm warned that the upward ETH/BTC trend "will be tested in upcoming sessions" and cautioned that "once the upside momentum fades from the ETH/BTC rally, equity investors would be wise to take heed."

"In conclusion, in previous cases over the past roughly 10 years, every time we observed such a strong and pronounced move in the ETH/BTC crypto pair, equities surged in unison. However, once the upward momentum faded from the ETH/BTC rally, equity investors would be wise to take heed," Sevens stated.

See also: "At What Price Should You Buy Ethereum After Its New All-Time High?"

#Bitcoin (BTC) #Ethereum (ETH) #Trading #Analitycs

Editor: Alyona Nabok
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