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05/05/26 09:44 UTC-04

Bitcoin Retests $80,000 After Iran Strike News

Cryptocurrency Cryptocurrency
Cryptocurrency Bitcoin Retests $80,000 After Iran Strike News

Bitcoin has returned to the $80,000 zone but failed to hold above it. Fresh volatility emerged following reports of an Iranian strike on an oil facility in the United Arab Emirates. As a result, oil prices surged, US equities came under pressure, and the crypto market shifted back into a cautious mode.

BTC price action turned choppy, with $80,000 becoming a key battleground between buyers and sellers. This level is not just psychological—it defines the short-term structure of the market.

Iran Drives Market Volatility

Reports of the attack quickly shifted investor sentiment. WTI crude oil jumped over 5% above $105 per barrel, while Brent crude oil climbed toward $119, nearing multi-year highs.

Rising oil prices increase inflation risks and complicate expectations for the Federal Reserve, putting pressure on risk assets including Bitcoin.

$80,000 Becomes a Critical BTC Zone

Bitcoin has repeatedly tested the $80,000 level but failed to stabilize above it. Buyers are attempting to reclaim it, while sellers continue using it as a profit-taking zone.

Until this level is confirmed as support, the market remains vulnerable to downside moves.

CME Gap Becomes a Key Reference


CME futures gap (Source: market data)

Traders are closely watching gaps on Chicago Mercantile Exchange futures. A new small gap has formed, while a larger one near $84,000 remains partially unfilled.

These levels often act as price magnets, making $84,000 a likely short-term target if recovery continues.

Short-Term Holders Near Breakeven

On-chain data from CryptoQuant highlights the average entry price of short-term holders.

A daily close above $81,500 could shift resistance into support and open the path toward $87,000–$92,000. Failure may lead to a pullback toward $76,500.

Long-Term Holders Stay Calm

According to CryptoQuant, long-term holders show no signs of panic despite unrealized losses.

This reduces the risk of large-scale capitulation, with volatility driven mainly by short-term traders.

Oil Returns as a Macro Driver

Oil prices again influence Bitcoin through inflation expectations and Fed policy outlook. Higher inflation expectations typically reduce risk appetite across markets.

Market Awaits Confirmation

Two scenarios dominate:
— breakout above $81,500 toward $87,000–$92,000;
— rejection and decline toward $76,500.

Confirmation via daily and weekly closes will determine the next move.

What’s Next?

Short-term direction depends on geopolitical developments and oil markets. Stabilization could push BTC toward $84,000, while escalation may trigger a drop toward $76,500.

A daily close above $81,500 remains the key signal for continued upside.

See also: "Can Bitcoin (BTC) Pull Back from $80,000? Or Will the Rally Continue? Expert Analyst Insights"

#Bitcoin (BTC) #Analitycs #Forecast

Editor: Yulia Krasnaya
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