As of 15:30 Eastern Time on 4 June 2026, Bitcoin was trading at $63,826, approximately 2.8% below its daily level. This price level has become the focus of attention on Polymarket, Kalshi and Myriad, where open contracts worth millions of dollars show a persistent bearish bias.
XRP is trading at $1.3710 on 21 May, sitting below all four EMAs, while the Supertrend indicator has turned bearish for the first time since April. Meanwhile, traders on Polymarket assign only a 6% chance of XRP reclaiming $1.50 by Saturday, while Crypto Michael describes the current move as a deliberate “shakeout” before a breakout begins.
Ethereum traders are becoming increasingly bearish amid a price decline of more than 9% over the past week. It is worth noting that prediction platform Polymarket now shows a 56% probability that Ethereum will fall below $2,000 before the end of the month.
Solana is trading at $85.64 on May 4, up 2%, while the monthly Polymarket pricing shows a 70% probability of closing at $90 in May, and on-chain data shows $381 million in ecosystem inflows over the past three months, with 69% coming from Ethereum.
The Polymarket platform and Bitget Wallet analyzed the activity of 1.29 million accounts on the prediction marketplace and identified the four most popular cryptocurrencies whose price movements users bet on most frequently. From January to March, about 593,000 accounts participated in bets on Bitcoin’s price, with a total trading volume of $5.42 billion, according to the study citing Dune Analytics.
The platform Kalshi is preparing to launch cryptocurrency trading instruments, according to The Information citing internal sources.
Bitget Wallet, a non-custodial wallet platform with over 90 million users worldwide, is integrating with Polymarket, a prediction market platform, according to Investing.com.
Bitcoin’s price may fall further, as Polymarket traders now estimate a 51% probability of it dropping below $45,000 by December 31, 2026. This follows the U.S. Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged. Bitcoin’s price today fell below $70,000 from a recent high of $76,000 on March 17. Meanwhile, market analysis also shows that the price may not have reached its bottom yet.
After falling from a level above $116 to $72, the price of silver has now risen again to $85. Drawn by this volatility, traders on the Polymarket prediction platform are actively placing bets on where the precious metal will move next.
Considering that since the beginning of 2026 Ethereum has fallen by 34.88%, while Bitcoin has lost 23.47% of its value and XRP — 24.59%, Polymarket users do not show clear optimism regarding the ETH price by the end of February and are cautiously betting on a decline.
After the renewed downward movement on February 3, most digital assets declined significantly. The total market capitalization of tokens and coins fell by 22%, reaching its lowest level since October 2024 at $2.05 trillion. However, on Friday the market began to rebound and recovered part of the losses.
After three years, the prediction market platform Polymarket has officially resumed operations in the United States. However, for now it is available only in a closed beta version for selected users.
The prediction platform Polymarket is once again in the spotlight — this time because hackers are using the platform’s comment section to carry out scams. This was reported by one of the traders under the nickname 25usdc. He wrote on social media that hackers had exploited Polymarket’s comment section for fraudulent activity, and so far users have lost more than $500,000.
Most users of the prediction market Polymarket believe that Bitcoin will experience a quiet November, with limited price movement.
Forecast statistics on the Polymarket platform show that only a small number of traders believe XRP could reach $4 by 2026. Specifically, traders assign a 21% probability that XRP will rise to $4 by January 2026.
Polymarket, a company developing prediction markets, is returning to the US market after being forced in 2022 to block American clients at the request of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). According to the statement, this will happen on October 3 — a few days earlier than the originally announced date of October 7.
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