Crypto asset manager Grayscale, in its recent analysis, suggests that the Bitcoin market may have reached its final bottom. According to the firm’s research division, on-chain data indicates that price action is stabilizing at healthier levels.
Although the recent 19% recovery in the crypto market has led many investors to believe that “the bottom is already in,” leading analytics platform The DeFi Report issued a cautious statement. Company founder Michael Nadye stated that despite the shift in market sentiment toward a bullish trend, blockchain data and macroeconomic liquidity conditions do not yet support the rally.
As of April 4, 2026, at 8:00 AM ET, Bitcoin was priced at $67,109, with a market capitalization of $1.32 trillion and a 24-hour trading volume of $45.26 billion. During the session, price fluctuated between $65,934 and $69,074, indicating continued volatility within a broader consolidation phase.
The conflict between the USA and Iran continues to impact Bitcoin and altcoins. Bitcoin, which recently rose to $76,000, has once again tested the $65,000 level amid escalating tensions in the conflict. While everyone is wondering when the war will end and whether the decline will continue, the time for the expiration of options contracts on the cryptocurrency market has arrived, as it does every Friday.
The asset price stands slightly above $84 as of April 1. The coin returned to levels seen in early March after a month of stagnation. Key indicators on the eight-hour chart are forming a structure resembling the situation before a 21% price increase early last month.
In the cryptocurrency market, blockchain data and derivative market dynamics indicate a significant divergence in investor behavior, while Bitcoin's price continues to move within a sideways range with limited fluctuations.
Ethereum ($ETH) is trading above $2,000. The cryptocurrency may close March with its first green monthly candle since August 2025, breaking a six-month losing streak.
An important indicator in the Bitcoin (BTC) market suggests that the largest cryptocurrency is approaching a rare growth threshold. According to data from analytics platform Coinglass, Bitcoin’s year-to-date return stands at negative 0.76%. This could become only the second instance in history where the price declines for six consecutive months, forming a “six-month losing streak.”
In light of a potential deal between the United States and Iran, it is worth addressing why the end of the Middle East conflict may not prevent Ethereum from falling.
According to Teles, historical data suggests that a new global downtrend could begin as early as 2026. The analysis highlights that the Short-Term Holder Realized Price (STHRP) and Active Realized Price (ARP) are highly reliable indicators for identifying market cycles.
Over the past few hours, Bitcoin (BTC) has risen above $72,000, prompting analytics firm CryptoQuant to assess the current market situation. CryptoQuant noted that in recent days Bitcoin has been trading around $70,000, while the Short-Term Holder Realized Price (STH) is currently above the spot price.
Arthur Hayes, a key figure in the crypto market and founder of BitMEX, has issued a cautious assessment of current market conditions. In a post on the social platform X, he stated that the market is dominated by excessive optimism.
Bitcoin bulls should be cautious: a key momentum indicator that has accurately predicted sell-offs since the cryptocurrency reached its all-time high in October has triggered again.
Bitcoin is entering a decisive phase that could set the tone for the next bullish cycle. The realized price and profit/loss metrics highlight its current position slightly above the cycle lows observed in previous market downturns.
Bitcoin dropped below $68,000 on Sunday, March 22, triggering large-scale liquidations of $400 million and returning to the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) — an indicator that has not become a reliable support level in 2026.
Bitcoin is entering a decisive phase that could set the tone for the next bull cycle. Metrics such as realized price and profit/loss highlight its current position, which is slightly above the cyclical lows observed in previous market downturns.
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